Monday, January 10, 2005

Peace is around the corner in Israel.

Yeah, and if you believe that, I have a bridge to sell you.

In a surprise to anyone who has been living in a cave for the last year, Mahmoud Abbas has been elected President of the Palestinian Authority. This has the Palestinians and liberals dancing for joy. Don't get me wrong, any valid election in the middle east is a great victory for democracy. Compare to the "freedom fighters" (as the liberals like to call them) in Iraq who claim that democracy is an anti-Islamic Western construct.

However, I don't think the election of President Abbas will change much, if anything in Israel. In order to bring any kind of lasting peace, President Abbas will first have to reign in the Palestinian terrorists. These groups, who are getting considerable support from outside the Palestinian community, as well as from within, are not going to stop their campaign of terror just because President Abbas asks them nicely. President Abbas would have to be willing to forcibly lock down these terrorist groups. First, President Abbas doesn't have the resources to stop the terrorists. Second, I don't think President Abbas has the desire to stop these groups. I predict, though I hope I am wrong, that President Abbas will follow the SOP set by Arafat. He will scream and holler for the Israeli government to make concessions. When they do, he will just ask for more and fail to come through on his promises.

There will be no peace in Israel until there is a fundamental change in the leadership and political climate in the Palestinian Authority. When it does, watch out.